Fires, floods, less snow, disappearance of half the plant species ... These are some of the festivities for Europe provides that the report overseen by the German Research Institute for the Potsdam Climate Impacts (Pik ). Its main conclusion? The mountainous and Mediterranean regions should be those that suffer the most in 2080 horizon.
Four scenarios. This document, published Thursday in the journal Science, brings together the work of six European research institutions on the consequences of climate change Europe, the atmospheric content CO2 and land use. This study is based on four scenarios developed by the UN Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), according to the changing economic and energy policies. All provide a warming to 2,1 4,4 ° C on average in Europe by seventy years. Stéphane Hallegatte, environmental economist at the Stanford Institute for International Studies and the School of Bridges and Roads, the study is "unprecedented in the scale of the assessment. Together in a single frame from different backgrounds enables researchers to highlight some water stress interactions can not be disconnected from the agriculture: if there are water reserves can irrigate, otherwise it is impossible. Moreover, the tools are more sophisticated than those used by previous studies. "