Winter 2013 / 2014, the coldest for a century?

hic · by **hic** » 07/10/13, 19:03

Winter 2013/2014 will be the coldest in the last 100 years

On the road to a winter of death?
*** http://www.dhnet.be/actu/belgique/en-ro ... d7db9dbe08 ***
One of the meteorologists behind this information, the German Dominik Jung, spoke on Twitter and also says that it is impossible, for the moment, to know if this winter will be the most horrible for 100 years . But he maintains that the winter of 2013/2014 will likely be "extremely freezing". “Personally, I think it will be less cold this winter,” says Marc Vandiepenbeeck.

raymon · by **raymon** » 07/10/13, 19:33

Bof when I see the end of the world predictions in 2012 and the 3-day weather forecast I have some doubts ...

Ahmed · by **Ahmed** » 07/10/13, 20:49

It is Dominik jung who is undoubtedly right.
The proof: I have never had so much wood in stock for the next heating season!

(I'm referring to a well-known Canadian joke).

Christophe · by **Christophe** » 07/10/13, 20:55

+1 person doesn't know ...

Flytox · by **Flytox** » 07/10/13, 21:00

Ahmed wrote:It is Dominik jung who is undoubtedly right.
The proof: I have never had so much wood in stock for the next heating season!
(I'm referring to a well-known Canadian joke).

Indeed, very very harsh winters : Mrgreen:

Ahmed · by **Ahmed** » 07/10/13, 21:15

It is still quite likely that one of these "experts" is right ...

This is the point of resemblance between experts and clairvoyants, astrologers of all stripes: on the quantity of different opinions, it is very rare that a few do not end up being right!

@ Flytox:

Indeed, very, very harsh winter

Do not tell me that, I will feel obliged to store a little more!

Christophe · by **Christophe** » 07/10/13, 22:59

It's Barnum syndrome

hic your signature is too long! We no longer distinguish it from the text!

hic · by **hic** » 08/10/13, 02:10

Christophe wrote:It's Barnum syndrome
hic your signature is too long! We no longer distinguish it from the text!

Still would have to convince effectively for it to be a Barnum effect!

A weather forecast is a forecast,
it is not a prediction !!

Christophe · by **Christophe** » 08/10/13, 09:11

Was your initial message ironic? : Cheesy:

bamboo · by **bamboo** » 08/10/13, 14:40

Hic wrote:A weather forecast is a forecast,
it is not a prediction !!

It is all the same

Larousse wrote:- predict vt: Announce in advance what must happen, by intuition, reasoning or ...
- predict vt: To think, according to certain data, that a future fact is very probable.

Between intuition and probability, we are only sure of one thing: that one is not more certain than the other.

Besides, did you know that 100% of the statistics are false? : Cheesy:

And so I plus all the opinions cited above.

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Winter 2013 / 2014, the coldest for a century?