bardal wrote:It is an essentially pessimistic speech, which I do not want to share in full (but that is another problem) ...
Pessimistic no, just realistic ...
- nuclear energy is undoubtedly registered "in a logic of maintaining energy production guaranteeing the socio-economic balance of our country". But this is the case for all forms of energy, including green energies, and even for all human productions.
Obviously, but that is not the point, what I wanted to say is that it is time to stop the discourse on GHGs when the only objective is to maintain it costs that costs growth.
Ecology is a pretty screen used to hide trivial interests.
- is there legitimacy, in this context, to try to choose the least bad way, the least harmful, to try to face formidable deadlines concerning the whole of humanity?
The problem is there, there is no real citizen choice, but rather orientations in relation to economic strategies.
The Germans decided to leave nuclear power because it represented 16% (2014) of their electricity production, getting rid of this sector was rather an opportunity, because the dismantling will allow them to develop leadership in a sector or any remains to be dismantled.
In the case of France, most of the political posturing will be played out in the end on the closure of one or two sites which would have closed anyway, because the dice have been played for 10 years.
With the arrival of the oil depletion it will be necessary to do better (produce more electricity to advance part of the car fleet) in a context of economic stagnation.
- a drastic policy of sobriety in energy and natural resources (fairly well developed in "Factor 4", even if it is a little dated) of which we can see more or less the main lines (zero or negative growth, circular economy, demography to be reviewed , lifestyle to evolve, etc.)
Yes but again it is the facts rather than the decisions that will lead us to what you describe.
Growth has been on an undulating plateau for nearly 10 years, with a slight "rising false flat" due to astronomical injections of fictitious liquidity ...
The austerity policies are already there, the end of the welfare state in favor of the monopolies is a simple observation, and the demography should logically increase due to migratory flows ... the role of the politicians will therefore consist in playing the illusionists for to prepare all your disappointments with the most feelings!