Tomorrow all the unemployed?

Current Economy and Sustainable Development-compatible? GDP growth (at all costs), economic development, inflation ... How concillier the current economy with the environment and sustainable development.
User avatar
sen-no-sen
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 6856
Registration: 11/06/09, 13:08
Location: High Beaujolais.
x 749

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by sen-no-sen » 02/07/17, 18:43

Exnihiloest wrote:This example does not demonstrate any of this. It only demonstrates our intellectual inability to see all the elements and deduce their potential.
You are a caveman, with a child. You see flints and twigs. You see two elements et you see the potential of the whole to make fire. The child sees nothing.


The fact that the physical universe is full of potential is a most obvious fact, but that does not call into question that a sum of elements in synergy forms something greater than the simple addition of their individual functionalities.
The progress that is so dear to you works like this, if you take 10 engineers to whom you submit a problem you will have 10 solutions to the problems, now if you make the 10 engineers work together you will have something more than a sum of work individual, we call it teamwork, there is nothing easier to understand ...
If an adult understands something that a child does not grasp, it is only because the latter integrates into his brain a sum of information from group work, from education, imitation and experience because we are dwarves perched on the shoulders of giants ".
No discovery is possible without this accumulation of knowledge.

The element of intelligence can be seen as a thermostat. You have a system in contact with its environment, which takes information from its environment (such as temperature) and processes it to initiate an action (heating control). You multiply by billions, and you have a human brain for which you have become unable to see all of the stimuli and processing, a matter of complexity


Except that a system does not appear ex nihilo (sic!) But results from an evolutionary process. You have to think in terms of structuring information, otherwise a brain would be nothing but a pile of mush ...

The whole which does not exist, it is not mine, it is yours, that which would be greater than the sum of its parts and whose novelty would therefore appear by spontaneous generation, like that in which we believed there a few centuries. My whole is the realization of the potential of the elements that compose it. This one exists.


You try to make me say things that I did not say for mistakes of solvent arguments ... which to speak of "novelty ex nihilo" (re-sic!)
There is nothing new except for an observer given at a time X.
Discoveries are only possible by common reflection, a consequence of the energy dissipated by a set of cognitive systems.
Potentially there is obviously an astronomical sum of possibilities, but only those which are discovered take on a meaning and are considered as real.

The elements allowing the construction of a particle accelerator already existed in the Neolithic, however it was not until the 1930s to see one appear.
It is only the sum of the knowledge of humanity which has enabled the appearance of such a machine in a sufficiently long time. It results from a group intelligence existing through time, without this set, this whole , no inventions would ever see the light of day ... it's not hard to get it right?
0 x
"Engineering is sometimes about knowing when to stop" Charles De Gaulle.
Janic
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 19224
Registration: 29/10/10, 13:27
Location: bourgogne
x 3491

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by Janic » 03/07/17, 08:20

... Janic? It's you?

There yes!
This example shows wonderfully that "the whole is indeed greater than the sum of the elements" which compose it.

Everyone, according to their point of view, is partially right and wrong at the same time.
Is the whole more than its parts? Yes and no ! An automobile, or any other object, is made up of parts which in themselves cannot play any role without being linked to the other parts, but at the same time an assembly of parts gives nothing more than a bunch of parts united and no one, reasonably, could assert that it is a question of a self-organization or an appearance ex nihilo. So without external intervention, nothing happens and will never happen, as much to create these parts as to assemble them! As this passage points out:
It is only the sum of the knowledge of humanity which has enabled the appearance of such a machine in a sufficiently long time. It results from a group intelligence existing through time, without this set, this whole , no inventions would ever see the light of day ... it's not hard to get it right?
and even:
Except that a system does not appear ex nihilo (sic!) But results from an evolutionary process. You have to think in terms of structuring information, otherwise a brain would be nothing but a pile of mush ...


NB:
For the bird it gives one chance in two to die, for the human one chance in two to feed ... it changes everything for our two observers.

Just a comment on this sentence and its formulation, unfortunately very widespread. Saying one chance in two to die is far from being part of what is called luck. : Cry:
0 x
"We make science with facts, like making a house with stones: but an accumulation of facts is no more a science than a pile of stones is a house" Henri Poincaré
User avatar
sen-no-sen
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 6856
Registration: 11/06/09, 13:08
Location: High Beaujolais.
x 749

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by sen-no-sen » 03/07/17, 15:54

We may be stopping the HS ... : Mrgreen:
0 x
"Engineering is sometimes about knowing when to stop" Charles De Gaulle.
User avatar
Exnihiloest
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 5365
Registration: 21/04/15, 17:57
x 660

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by Exnihiloest » 04/07/17, 23:08

sen-no-sen wrote:...
The progress that is so dear to you works like this, if you take 10 engineers to whom you submit a problem you will have 10 solutions to the problems, now if you make the 10 engineers work together you will have something more than a sum of work individual, we call it teamwork, there is nothing easier to understand ...
...

It's caricatural. You can see it very well with the sharewares. Many are made by a single author. When you test several, you realize that the solutions are close, and that the difference will rather be in the form. The purpose imposes constraints that make the solutions look the same.
Whether your TV is purchased from Samsung, LG or Philips, they all look the same, yet the teams are different. Admittedly there are perhaps less differences between teams than between individuals, but it is far from being binary. Teamwork is necessary today especially by the magnitude of the tasks and the necessary specialization, impossible to achieve the result in the time allowed for a single man.
Teamwork works for routine engineering. The really innovative idea, although brainstorming can help with childbirth, comes from one individual. It doesn't mean that "the rest of the world didn't participate", it just means that the idea and the context was ripe for it to be born in a mind, and that in this game there is always a first. Because of course, as you say, and I totally agree, "we are dwarfs perched on the shoulders of giants". Still, to take physics as an example, physicists refer every day to Newton, Einstein, Maxwell ... to individuals, not to groups.

The elements allowing the construction of a particle accelerator already existed in the Neolithic, however it was not until the 1930s to see one appear.

Absolutely, and that's why I say that emergence is only a work of the mind, not a physical phenomenon. Nothing emerges spontaneously. Even the thing which is born of Nature and which seems so well arranged for some, is only an emergence of the spirit which observes it and conceives the principle of it. The whole is the sum of its parts, and our intelligence interprets the parts as a whole when it understands it. She can even create a new whole when she understands how the elements work (in the genre, physics is there again at the top for that), which is the demonstration of what I advance.
1 x
Christophe
Moderator
Moderator
posts: 79304
Registration: 10/02/03, 14:06
Location: Greenhouse planet
x 11037

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by Christophe » 03/10/17, 13:41

This promises to be difficult for the technicians and engineers of the coming years ... It was already not easy now (relocation ...) ...

"The school trains children who will be laminated by artificial intelligence"

While artificial intelligence will revolutionize the world of work and the economy as a whole, surgeon and neurobiologist Laurent Alexandre believes it is necessary to adapt training systems.

In La Matinale de la RTS, surgeon and neurobiologist Laurent Alexandre pleads for an overhaul of the training system: "Today, schools around the world train children for jobs where they will be trained mainly by artificial intelligence. We must do the opposite, we must train our children to go where artificial intelligence does not know. not going."

And the researcher, who publishes "The war of intelligences", insists: "We should not go into too technical professions, because artificial intelligence will crush us technically." The humanities, general culture, critical thinking, the ability to be multidisciplinary are for him the keys that will allow him to resist artificial intelligence.

French humanities versus German-speaking technology

Asked about the differences between the German-speaking training system, favoring access to apprenticeship and technical professions, and the French-speaking system, more focused on academic training, Laurent Alexandre believes that the French-speaking approach is fairer. "Of course you have to know science and technology, but that's not enough. The humanities are essential."


https://www.rts.ch/info/sciences-tech/8 ... elle-.html

ps: Laurent Alexandre is also him science-and-technology / to-death-to-death-immortality-soon-laurent-alexandre-t12264.html
0 x
Ahmed
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 12307
Registration: 25/02/08, 18:54
Location: Burgundy
x 2968

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by Ahmed » 03/10/17, 19:01

There has long been a gap between the training received and the professional, economic and technical environment in which these students will be required to develop. But this anachronism grows more and more, as the changes are made faster ... it is the effect of the "red queen"!
More generally, the studious (or supposed such!) Current generations live in a context of consumer society, whereas it is a radically different universe which awaits them and for which they are not at all prepared, on the contrary (I speak here of 'psychic impregnation).
1 x
"Please don't believe what I'm telling you."
User avatar
sen-no-sen
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 6856
Registration: 11/06/09, 13:08
Location: High Beaujolais.
x 749

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by sen-no-sen » 23/01/18, 20:21

Amazon launches first cashless supermarket in the United States
VIDEO - The e-commerce giant has opened its first food store in Seattle. Its particularity: it has no cash register. You do your shopping there without paying. Amazon used the same technologies as those of the autonomous car.

A store without a cash register. Where you don't pay a cent on the spot. Where you add the products to your basket, before leaving, in complete freedom. This is the crazy bet that Amazon has just launched. The global e-commerce giant has just opened its first food store in Seattle, near its headquarters. In the testing phase, this supermarket is currently reserved for Amazon employees. It should open to the public in early 2017.

By revealing its store profile on Monday in a video posted on Twitter, Amazon has created a real revolution in the food trade. “No lines, no check out, no registers” (no queues, no payment, no checkout): the concept called Amazon Go is clear. "Four years ago, we started to wonder what racing would be like if we could just grab what we wanted and leave," said the voiceover on the video.

http://www.lefigaro.fr/conso/2016/12/05/20010-20161205ARTFIG00281-amazon-lance-un-premier-supermarche-sans-caisse-aux-etats-unis.php
0 x
"Engineering is sometimes about knowing when to stop" Charles De Gaulle.
User avatar
chatelot16
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 6960
Registration: 11/11/07, 17:33
Location: Angouleme
x 264

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by chatelot16 » 23/01/18, 23:19

store without staff ... reserved for amazon employees it can work ... customers are perfectly identified and nobody wants to be fired (I almost said fired as a trump)

but in real life a store without staff open to everyone there may be a problem, or it will take more staff to monitor than there are in the current store

this determination to reduce staff is laughable!

as long as the superfluous personnel are not euthanized they must be fed in one way or another ... by unemployment benefits ... by solidarity ... or by those who will take the money directly where is he

therefore it would be enough to make correctly pay the unemployment contribution! especially not make pay the best employers who make employees work, but make pay the contributions to those who make profit with few employees ... the more a boss reduces his staff the more he has to pay ... they will be quick to understand that it is better to pay people to do the job than to pay even more for not even having the job done

I can't understand how this system of social charges on work can spoil the economy of all the developed countries without anyone thinking of changing

similarly for health insurance ... unemployment makes you sick ... so do not make health insurance pay only to those who work but especially to those who earn money by reducing their staff and who make people sick of unemployment ... or make working people sick with stress

basically we must completely remove the social charges on wages and let the state tax as it wants what it takes to finance social protection! tax what is harmful, instead of this absurd social security charge which taxes what is good
0 x
User avatar
Gaston
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 1910
Registration: 04/10/10, 11:37
x 88

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by Gaston » 24/01/18, 09:50

chatelot16 wrote:store without staff ... reserved for amazon employees it can work ... customers are perfectly identified and nobody wants to be fired (I almost said fired as a trump)

but in real life a store without staff open to everyone there may be a problem, or it will take more staff to monitor than there are in the current store

this determination to reduce staff is laughable!
This store is not intended to be generalized.
It is a full-scale technological showcase, a living advertisement for Amazon, a way of creating buzz ...

Especially since I am not at all sure that this store costs less in staff salaries in the end (there are no more employees at the checkout, but how much to maintain the computer system? Not to mention an investment colossal ...).
0 x
Ahmed
Econologue expert
Econologue expert
posts: 12307
Registration: 25/02/08, 18:54
Location: Burgundy
x 2968

Re: Tomorrow, all unemployed?




by Ahmed » 24/01/18, 10:25

@ Chatelot: reducing staff is nothing absurd for a company, since it is called increasing productivity, it is even vital at its level. It is only from a macroeconomic point of view that this turns into a problem. In reality, the unemployed have a common concern * with capital: they find it increasingly difficult to sell themselves profitably on the market and that, possible state reforms will not change anything.
Let us not forget that unemployment has long been very useful (from the point of view of the economy), since it made it possible to find the necessary workforce in the new sectors then expanding, it is only today 'today, as soon as they only appear more slowly and especially without the need for many employees, it poses an insoluble problem.

@ Gaston: Admittedly this store is a demonstrator, but its vocation is precisely to prowl the system before its generalization. Therefore, that it currently calls for more employees (moreover, highly qualified), it is quite possible, but once the "adjustments" are made, these people will no longer be necessary or rather will be sufficient to ensure the maintenance of a whole host of stores all over the world.

* With a big difference, because their life is directly impacted!
0 x
"Please don't believe what I'm telling you."

Back to "Economy and finance, sustainability, growth, GDP, ecological tax systems"

Who is online ?

Users browsing this forum : No registered users and 118 guests